Bitcoin Holds Steady Around $87,000 — Is a $100K Breakthrough Possible Before Year-End?

Jakarta, Pintu News – Bitcoin (BTC) price is moving into the last trading session of the year with uncertainty regarding the continuation of the uptrend. BTC price is still struggling to break through higher resistance levels despite previous optimism.

The current market structure reflects more of a consolidation phase than growth. Market participants are starting to review year-end expectations as liquidity dwindles and volatility diminishes.

In particular, the Bitcoin price remains stuck below the area that previously rejected the bulls. Predictions are now increasingly based on probability-based indicators rather than faith alone.

The debate about a possible move towards the $100,000 level continues, but the level of confidence in it is starting to decline.

Bitcoin Price Drops 0.97% in 24 Hours

As of December 24, 2025, Bitcoin was trading at $87,288, equivalent to IDR 1,469,269,690, marking a 0.97% decline over the past 24 hours. During the same period, BTC hit an intraday low of IDR 1,462,942,990 and climbed as high as IDR 1,483,668,970.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s market capitalization stands at approximately IDR 29,229 trillion, while its 24-hour trading volume has surged 19% to reach IDR 801.97 trillion.

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The probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 is getting lower, according to analysts

Bitcoin price analysis from analyst Lenaert Snyder emphasizes the importance of market structure over speculation. BTC price was recently rejected at the $90,500 level after a failed recovery attempt. The rejection pushed the price down below $88,000, so the area that was previously support has now turned into resistance.

As a result, the analyst focuses more on range-based trading strategies rather than specific price movement directions. Snyder highlights the $85,900 area as the most ideal zone for long-term exposure. This approach is considered a disciplined strategy, rather than a form of pessimism.

Interestingly, probability data from Polymarket supports this view. The platform gives only a 7% chance for the Bitcoin price to reach $100,000 before the end of the year. This figure shows the declining confidence of market participants in the potential for a big move.

Meanwhile, thin liquidity during the holiday season limits the potential for price trend continuation. As such, BTC’s current movement is constrained more by market structure and probabilities, rather than by expectation-based narratives.

Range Control Dominates Bitcoin Price Structure on the 4-Hour Chart

Bitcoin’s price structure on the 4-hour (4H) chart shows restrained price behavior within ranges rather than clear directional expansion. BTC price continues to move within a wide trading range bounded by firm supply and demand zones.

Every time the price tried to break the $94,000-$95,000 resistance area, the attempt failed. The zone absorbs buying pressure and promotes a downward price rotation. Any rejection in this area reinforces the range ceiling and limits further upside potential.

On the contrary, the downward movement has consistently attracted buying interest around the $85,000-$86,000 support zone. This area has been successfully defended by buyers several times, confirming its importance in the market structure. Currently, the BTC market value is near the balance point of the range, with prices around $87,400.

The RSI indicator is below the midpoint of 50, signaling weak upside strength. This structure favors rotational price movements over one-way trends.

Bitcoin’s price performance going forward will depend on the price’s ability to reclaim the $95,000 level decisively, not just through a brief bounce.

Bitcoin’s Q4 Performance Breaks Seven-Year Seasonal Trend

Bitcoin’s price performance during the fourth quarter (Q4) of this year stands out for showing historical weakness. The quarter recorded a decline of around 22.5%, making it the worst Q4 since 2018.

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This comparison is relevant due to the similarity of the market context. Both periods were preceded by a long rally phase, during which BTC prices entered Q4 with limited upward elasticity.

Historically, the fourth quarter often reflects a positioning reset phase rather than an acceleration of the upward trend. This pattern is evident again this year – Bitcoin’s price weakness does not signal a breakdown in market structure, but rather a natural consolidation process.

However, this reduces the chances of significant growth later in the cycle. Therefore, expectations of a sharp price surge towards the end of the year seem overly optimistic. Statistically speaking, the chances of a major upturn are more likely at the beginning of 2026.

Summary

Bitcoin’s current price movements favor a continuation of the range pattern rather than a year-end price breakout. BTC faces strong resistance above $95,000, while there is little time left.

The probability of the price reaching $100,000 before the end of the year is also low, according to probability market data.

The possibility of a retest of the $85,000 area and price stabilization is supported by the technical structure. Thus, Bitcoin price seems to be in a consolidation phase, and the long-term trend towards $100,000 is likely to shift to early 2026.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference:

• Coingape. Will Bitcoin Price Hit $100k Before Year-End? Prediction and Analysis. Accessed on December 24, 2025